Who are the best Polymarket traders to follow?
The best Polymarket traders to follow are not the ones with the highest win rates. Leaderboards ranked by raw win rate mostly surface favorite-farmers who buy 99-cent “sure things” over and over — that’s closer to parking money than trading skill. Real edge looks like a 62–85% win rate sustained over hundreds of trades at meaningful, closer-to-even odds. We rank traders by that standard below, and exclude wallets above an 85% win rate as favorite-farming artifacts.
Wallets above an 85% win rate are excluded from this table as favorite-farming artifacts. A wallet that only buys shares priced at 97–99¢ will win almost every trade almost by construction — that’s a low-risk, low-return parking strategy, not evidence of forecasting skill. We don’t name-and-shame specific wallets; we simply don’t feature them as “best traders.”
“Favorite-farming” means repeatedly buying shares already priced near certainty (95¢+) purely to bank a high win rate. Entry price is what separates that from real edge: winning consistently at 50–60¢ entries reflects genuine forecasting skill, while winning at 99¢ entries mostly reflects not losing money you already knew was safe. This leaderboard endpoint doesn’t expose an average entry-price field per wallet, so we approximate the same effect with a win-rate band (62–85%) plus a sample-size floor (50+ resolved trades) to keep small, lucky streaks off the table.
We deliberately do not publish per-dollar profit or percent return figures on this page. Our upstream P&L attribution is currently mis-scaled, and we would rather show fewer numbers than publish ones we can’t stand behind. Volume traded is shown for context — it is not a profit figure.
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