Signal Performance
The honest scoreboard. Every signal we publish, every category it fires in, and how often it beat the category’s historical base rate. Polymarket markets resolve retrospectively — pending counts show signals still waiting on a market to close. Nothing here is filtered or curated.
Want the alerts when these signals fire on a new market?
Discord Pro posts every emission from the calibrated combos above — instantly, with Polymarket deep-link. $15/mo, cancel anytime.
Signal scoreboard
Each row aggregates a signal across every category it fires in. WR is wins / resolved — pending emissions don’t count toward it until the underlying market closes.
| Signal | Categories | Fired▼ | Resolved | Pending | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | |||||
Where the edge actually lives
(Signal × category) combinations sorted by edge over each category’s historical base rate. Anything above +30pp meets the paid-channel alert threshold; positives below that and negatives are still shown so the selection is fully transparent.
| Signal | Category | Samples | WR | Base rate | Edge▼ | $/$1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading… | ||||||
Data updates every 60 seconds. Base rates use lifetime resolved emissions per category. WR and edge are computed only over resolved samples within the selected window — pending emissions are shown for transparency but do not affect the WR.